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Baccarat card
counting
If your card counting
in baccarat or have a system then your one of the fools casinos
really love. The same with online casinos that offer baccarat games,
the reasons casinos like you is it is full documented and proven by mathematicians
that there is no system and in the long term the casino will always
win, having said that below I offer some tips for playing baccarat.
- If you want to maximize your
expected value, your bankroll size after N hands, or anything
like that, then DON'T PLAY.
- If you want to win a goal amount,
bet it all (or less if that would suffice to reach the goal if
you win) on bank.
- If you want to play for the
longest time while losing the least, bet the minimum on bank
(and don't bet many hands as possible.)
- If you want to lose as much as you
can as quickly as possible, bet it all on tie and keep parlaying
until you lose it all.
One might argue that one could do
better by keeping track of the number of player, bank, and tie wins
in a shoe. The casino gives you scorecards for this purpose. Hmmm,
they wouldn't encourage you to do it if it actually were worthwhile,
now would they? No, they would not. The number of player, bank, and
tie wins is extremely weakly correlated to the cards that have been
removed, and as you'll see in the next section, even perfect card
counting reveals depressingly few favorable situations. If a gambler risks finite capital over a large number of plays in a game with constant single-trial probability of winning, losing, and tying, then any and all betting systems lead ultimately to the same value of mathematical expectation of gain per unit amount wagered. It follows that an unfavorable game remains unfavorable regardless of the variation in bets. The number of "guaranteed" betting systems, the proliferation of myths and fallacies concerning such systems, and the countless people believing, propagating, venerating, protecting, and swearing by such systems are legion. Betting systems constitute one of the oldest delusions of gambling history.
No advantage accrues to the process of betting only on some subsequence of a number of independent repeated trials forming a complete sequence. Corollary: No advantage in terms of mathematical expectation accrues to the gambler who possesses the option of discontinuing the game after each play. A gambler with initial fortune z, playing a game with the fixed objective of increasing his fortune by the amount a-z, has an expected gain that is a function of his probability of ruin (or success). Moreover, the probability of ruin is a function of the betting system. For equitable or unfair games, a "maximum boldness" strategy is optimal - that is, the gambler should wager the maximum amount permissible consistent with his objective and current fortune...
Now Go play!!! remember
the odds and enjoy your game.
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